The Aes Stock Performance

AES Stock  USD 15.74  0.35  2.18%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, AES holds a performance score of 7. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.96, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. AES returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, AES is expected to follow. Please check AES's standard deviation, expected short fall, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether AES's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in The AES are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively weak technical and fundamental indicators, AES may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
9.23
Five Day Return
8.5
Year To Date Return
8.57
Ten Year Return
64.18
All Time Return
390.55
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0437
Payout Ratio
0.4601
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
0.7
Dividend Date
2026-02-13
1
The AES Corporation AES Shares Acquired by Cbre Investment Management Listed Real Assets LLC
11/07/2025
 
AES dividend paid on 14th of November 2025
11/14/2025
2
Argus Research Upgrades The AES Corporation To Buy, Price Target at 18
12/09/2025
3
AES or IBDRY Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now
12/23/2025
4
4 Value Stocks to Buy as Rate Cuts Reshape Markets in 2026
12/29/2025
5
FE to Benefit From Infrastructure Upgradation Grid Modernization
12/31/2025
6
AES Stock Rises 28.6 percent in 6 Months What Should Investors Do
01/05/2026
7
Assessing AES Valuation After New Energy Collaboration And Analyst Upgrade
01/07/2026
8
Did Panama LNG Rivals US4 Billion Lawsuit Just Shift AES Investment Narrative
01/13/2026
9
2026 Workforce Trends SSDI Beneficiaries Should Know
01/15/2026
10
Is Panama Antitrust Lawsuit Reshaping the Investment Case for AESs Regional Ambitions
01/21/2026
11
AES Announces Fourth Quarter Full Year 2025 Financial Review Conference Call to be Held on Friday, February 27, 2026 at 1000 a.m. ET
01/27/2026
12
Stocks making the biggest moves midday Novo Nordisk, Palantir, AES, Rocket and more
02/03/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow1.8 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-6.2 B

AES Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,402  in The AES on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  161.00  from holding The AES or generate 11.48% return on investment over 90 days. The AES is generating 0.198% of daily returns assuming volatility of 2.0153% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 18% of stocks are less volatile than AES, and above 97% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon AES is expected to generate 2.68 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.68 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of risk.

AES Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of AES Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 15.74 90 days 15.74 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AES to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This The AES probability density function shows the probability of AES Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon AES has a beta of 0.96. This suggests The AES market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, AES is expected to follow. Additionally The AES has an alpha of 0.1783, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   AES Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for AES

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AES. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AES's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.5615.5817.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.1916.2118.23
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.1416.1618.17
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
13.9215.2916.97
Details

AES Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AES is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AES's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The AES, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AES within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.96
σ
Overall volatility
0.48
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

AES Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AES for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AES can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AES has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 91.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from cnbc.com: Stocks making the biggest moves midday Novo Nordisk, Palantir, AES, Rocket and more

AES Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AES Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AES's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AES's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding713 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.6 B

AES Fundamentals Growth

AES Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of AES, and AES fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on AES Stock performance.

About AES Performance

Assessing AES's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into AES's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the AES is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 24.98  31.64 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.04  0.05 
Return On Capital Employed 0.06  0.10 
Return On Assets 0.04  0.04 
Return On Equity 0.53  0.48 

Things to note about AES performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about AES for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for AES help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AES has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 91.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from cnbc.com: Stocks making the biggest moves midday Novo Nordisk, Palantir, AES, Rocket and more
Evaluating AES's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate AES's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing AES's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether AES's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining AES's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating AES's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of AES's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of AES's stock. These opinions can provide insight into AES's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating AES's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact AES's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for AES Stock Analysis

When running AES's price analysis, check to measure AES's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AES is operating at the current time. Most of AES's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AES's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AES's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AES to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.